Wednesday 16th June - Another 100cfs down and now the Pan is running at 395cfs at the moment. Perfect. Mike had a great trip out today. The Fork is also fishing well although the floating is fast. Cameron had a great trip out today floating lower down. So the news is all good. Amazingly the Fork is now running at 1710cfs. That's 300cfs down from yesterday and today was quite hot. It is also a massive drop from more than 6000cfs 6 days ago!
Will they drop the Pan any further this week? Really it doesn't matter now. It is great as it is. But given that the inflow is probably not much above 350cfs now and Ruedi is actally falling [it is currently 99.1% full and losing .2% a day] there is every chance it will keep coming down a little more. At 800cfs, 50cfs is not very noticeable. But at 400cfs with Rocky Fork slowing down, another 50cfs will be noticeable. So if you are thinking of coming up this weekend for the Food and Wine Festival or anything else, the fishing will be great. We have our Kids Camp on as well so if that is of interest contact Matt at the shop (970-927 3441) or on his cell phone (970 - 319 5234).
Tuesday 15th June - The Bureau has dropped the flow by another 100cfs so that now the Pan is running just below 500cfs. All things being equal from here one would expect the Pan to be at or below 400cfs by the coming weekend and the fishing will be perfect. The Fork continues to drop dramatically currently running at 2050cfs. At this rate it will be below 2000cfs tomorrow. Having dropped from over 6000cfs to under 2000cfs in less than a week, that is a dramatic fall. So now we are definitely looking forward to some great fishing from here on in.
Monday 14th June - The bureau has dropped the flow in the lower Pan by another 100cfs today bringing the flow down to 607cfs at the moment. It is quite cold so that will cut down Rocky Fork for the moment. With the inflow from the Pan at 437cfs and the tributaries probably not much more than 50cfs at the moment the storage is losing about 100cfs. This is borne out by Ruedi itself being at 99.6% and falling. So one would expect the releases to continue to fall as the Bureau tries to keep the reservoir near full. The forecast is calling for clear weather and temperatures in the 70's for the next week with wind midweek. So we shall see what tomorrow brings with the inflows. The flow in the Fork is also falling quickly having dropped another 500cfs today.
There's really no better way to describe the weather over the past week than to refer to the work of the poet. Said Hanrahan sums it up better than anyone. The Fork has halved its level in less than a week. It has been raining at 6500ft and has been snowing at 10,000ft. The reading on the upper Pan at Meredith has dropped from a peak of close to 2000cfs Last Sunday to around 500cfs at the moment. And Ruedi has gone from 90% a week ago to being full now. And this afternoon the Bureau dropped the Pan by 50cfs so that it is now running at 732cfs.
So what to expect in the coming week? Is it a fool's errand? Well the weatherman has taken the chance and offered maybe a little rain tomorrow and then bright and sunny for the next 9 days. Temperatures are supposed to be back in the mid 70's. If that transpires, the Bureau will probably drop the releases keeping the inflow and the outflow in balance to maintain the reservoir as full as possible. With the current outflow exceeding the inflow one would expect the releases to drop daily unless the last 2 days of snow up high pushes the flow up. Subject to that caveat it is probable that by next weekend the flows will be back to between 300cfs and 400cfs. We will know more as the week progresses. But absent a burst of heat which threatens to overflow the reservoir it is a good bet to consider that the peak run-off has passed.
The Fork is now running at 2920cfs after a peak of over 6000cfs on Thursday. If the Fork keeps coming down at this rate the floating will be very good very shortly. It is clear and clean. Just running high and fast. Even the Colorado has come down dramatically.
Current Flow: below the Dam 140cfs. (if you want more uptodate figures check out current readings on our "Links" page)
The big question is whether the rain will stop and the Bureau will keep lowering releases from the Dam. Currently at 732cfs the Bureau dropped the flow today by 50cfs. If the forecast is correct and the rain has passed it is more than likely that the pan will be back to 300- 400cfs by the end of the week. Currently the water is very clear and actually the fish are feeding nicely along the edges. It is just a matter of finding a quiet spot where the fish can feed without too much interruption. Those who took the time to fish at the dam found good results on mysis and egg patterns fish down. Lower down larger patterns worked fine with the visibility at least 4ft and little material being swept along after the releases stabilized.
So for the coming week, wait a few days and then check the flow on our links page or ring the shop to get the latest update. As soon as the levels get anywhere near 350cfs it will be perfect fishing and should remain so for the rest of the season.
The midges will come off during the day, particularly if it is sunny. So try WD-40's #20, red and black chironocones #20, brassies #18 - #22, midge larva patterns #18 - #22, copper johns #18 - #22, black polywings #18 - #22 and garcia's rojo midges # 18 - #22.
As they come off try the gray loopwing emergers #20 - #22, the FPA special emergers, biot emergers both with and without the trailing shuck and gray RS2's #18 - #22. In addition try dry patterns such as the z-wing real midge, suspended midge and any similar dry black and gray patterns in sizes from #20 through to #26, loopwing emergers #20 - #22 and FPA special emergers #20 - #26.
The Fork ran at over 6000cfs just a few days ago and now is back under 3000cfs. All things being equal from here it is unlikely it will get back over 6000cfs. That flow was twice the record flow at this time of year. So the high water will have flushed out the debris and silt clearing the water nicely. In addition as the Pan drops in the coming week the flow will fall as well. So shortly the Fork should be getting close to an ideal level to start floating or wading. Call the shop to get an update. But for the moment, just head for the Pan.
The Colorado is not fishable. Don't bother stopping. Just turn onto Highway 82 and come up to Basalt.